This strikes me as a bit optimistic. If you watch the full video (follow the link, en español), the firm predicts that Rosales will lose his bid for mayor of Maracaibo, and that the PSUV will pick up seats in some of the poshest sectors of Caracas. If anyone reading this (is anyone reading this?) has their hands on other pre-election polling data, I'd love to see it.
(ABN/VTV/Aporrea.org – 15 November 2008)
http://aporrea.org/actualidad/n124108.html -- with video at the link!
Caracas, 15 November, ABN – The general director of the polling firm North American Opinion Research, Carlos Sánchez, assured this Saturday that the United Socialist Party of Venezuela (PSUV) will be victorious in 21 governorships, while the opposition will only win two.
Concerning candidates for mayor, Sánchez said that 329 (that is, 67% of those running in the regional elections) will go to Bolivarian candidates of the PSUV, while 110 will be won by opposition parties.
The polling firm North American Opinion Research has participated in various opinion polls in Argentina, Brasil, Colombia, Bolivia, Chile, Perú, Paraguay, Uruaguay y Venezuela, among other countries.